President Kenyatta’s wing in Jubilee Party, Raila Odinga’s Orange Democratic Movement, Kalonzo Musyoka’s Wiper Democratic Movement, Musalia Mudavadi’s Amani National Congress, Moses Wetang’ula’s Ford-Kenya, and Gideon Moi’s Kanu are already reading from the same script and are pledging support for the Building Bridges Initiative, which many see as the vehicle to the referendum.
A united front bringing together these key political parties could start a wave that eventually installs a leader at State House in 2022.
The clearest indication yet of how the referendum question could read was revealed last week when women leaders under the Embrace movement, a pillar in the Kieleweke formation of the President Kenyatta-aligned Jubilee camp, said the Executive needs to be expanded to include the position of a prime minister and two deputies.
President Kenyatta and Mr Odinga have already been briefed by joint secretaries of the BBI team, which is next month expected to hand over to them a report compiled from presentations by various stakeholders around the country.
The two political bigwigs will then ask Kenyans to endorse the BBI report, sources close to the Presidency said.
“The plan by the two was to have all political players and leaders join hands and back the referendum so that Kenyans could have constitutional change via consensus, but the reality is that Deputy President William Ruto’s allies have shown lukewarm support for the BBI and could lead opposition to it,” a source close President Kenyatta and Mr Odinga said.
He added: “The political class was to take the BBI referendum push jointly to the people for ratification. Mr Kenyatta’s and Mr Odinga’s advisers felt that if the two worked together the other political class would play ball.”
Ruto is on record telling the pro-BBI team and the Ekuru Aukot-led Punguza Mizigo to agree on the changes they want before he can take a stand on the referendum.
It is not clear whether the Deputy President will back the BBI recommendations or launch an onslaught against them.
Should he go against the proposals, he will create a counter-wave against his boss President Kenyatta, as well as against his political nemesis Raila Odinga.
Political observers believe the unity between the pro-Kenyatta wing of Jubilee, ODM, Kanu, Wiper, Ford-Kenya and ANC could produce a new political momentum akin to the crowd-pulling Orange movement of the 2005 referendum.